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Evid Based Med 10:187 doi:10.1136/ebm.10.6.187
  • Clinical prediction guide

An algorithm comprising 7 baseline variables predicted the 2 year work disability status in non-specific back pain

Measures of validity for a clinical prediction rule developed from 7 baseline variables for predicting the 2 year work disability status in non-specific back pain*

Sample Cut point Sensitivity (95% CI)† Specificity (CI)† +LR −LR
*FAA  =  failure after attempt. Diagnostic terms defined in glossary; LRs calculated from data in article.
†95% CIs provided by author.
Validation set (n = 506) Failure or FAA v success or partial success 74% (70 to 78) 62% (58 to 66) 1.95 0.42

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