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Q In patients with acute knee injuries, is the Ottawa knee rule (OKR) accurate for ruling out knee fractures?
Clinical impact ratings GP/FP/Primary care ★★★★★☆☆ Emergency medicine ★★★★★☆☆ IM/Ambulatory care ★★★★★☆☆
Medline and PreMedline (1966 to January 2003), CINAHL (1982–2003), EMBASE/Excerpta Medica (1980–2003), Biosis (1990–2003), the Cochrane Library (2002), and the Science Citation Index database; reference lists; and experts.
Study selection and assessment:
studies in any language that assessed the OKR, investigated fractures confirmed radiographically or in combination with follow up; and reported enough information to calculate sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios. Study quality was ranked as high quality (level 1 = consecutive patient enrolment, reference standard test done on all patients, radiographic assessment of fracture done blinded to the results of the OKR); intermediate quality (level 2 = met 2 of the 3 level 1 criteria); low quality (level 3 = met 1 of the level 1 criteria); or very low quality (level 4 = met none of the level 1 criteria).
sensitivities, specificities, and likelihood ratios.
11 studies met the selection criteria. Of 4929 adult patients in the 6 studies that were pooled for a meta-analysis, 5 patients (0.12%) had a false negative result on the OKR test (ie, a missed fracture not detected by the rule). The table shows the pooled test characteristics of the OKR. At a knee fracture prevalence of 7%, the probability of a fracture after a negative assessment using the OKR was 0.37% (CI 0.15 to 1.48). The OKR’s moderate specificity implies a potential 50% reduction in the need for ordering x rays.
In adult patients with acute knee injuries, the Ottawa knee rule is accurate for ruling out knee fractures and can substantially reduce the need for radiography.
Clinical decision rules are important to emergency physicians because they help consolidate the most discriminating aspects of the clinical assessment in a valid instrument that can then drive decision making. The OKR’s ability to determine which patients are in need of a radiograph so that a fracture will not be missed was already largely established by validation studies published in the mid to late 1990s.1,2 The same holds true for the OKR’s utility (specificity) in reducing the rate at which radiographs would be ordered in the emergency department. A controlled implementation study confirmed its beneficial impact in the clinical setting,2 thus the OKR can be considered a level 1 clinical decision rule based on a commonly used hierarchy.3 As level 1 evidence, the OKR is an accurate decision rule that can change clinician behaviour and improve outcomes.
The review by Bachmann et al strengthens our appreciation of the accuracy of the OKR by establishing a strong negative likelihood ratio as reported from a number of high quality validation trials.
Systematic reviews of diagnostic instruments are expected to narrow the degree of certainty around point estimates of test performance, and the analysis adopted by Bachmann et al produced confidence intervals slightly narrower than those reported in the individual validation trials included in the meta-analysis.1,2 The authors of this review argue for the need to pursue further research in defining the accuracy of the OKR, but an even more important challenge might be to determine how to best improve the uptake of this validated decision rule in the clinical setting.
For correspondence: Dr L M Bachmann, Zurich University, Zurich, Switzerland.
Source of funding: no external funding
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