Table 2

Summary of findings

QuestionUnique primary studiesOutcomeResultMagnitude of effectGRADE
1: What is the effect of school closures on community COVID-19 transmission, morbidity and mortality?132TransmissionReduced: 6 SRs20–23 25 27 (closures)
Uncertain: 2 SRs18 19 (closures)
No effect: 2 SRs17 18 (re-openings)
  • Transmission from pupils less likely than from adults (OR 0.26, 95% CI (0.11 to 0.63))19 (Meta-analysis)

  • Pupils may be less likely to be infected than adults (OR 0.6, 95% CI (0.25 to 1.47))19 (Meta-analysis)

Very low*
⨁◯◯◯
HospitalisationReduced: 1 SR26
  • 45% reduction in paediatric hospital admissions26

Very low†
⨁◯◯◯
MortalityReduced: 1 SR24
  • 2%–4% reduction in deaths24

Very low‡
⨁◯◯◯
2: What is the effect of school closures on children’s health?123LearningWorse: 4 SRs26 28–30
  • Learning loss of −0.005 to −0.05 SD, per week of closures28

Low
⨁⨁◯◯
164Mental healthWorse: 8 SRs26 31–37
  • Prevalence of anxiety during COVID-19: 24% (95% CI (20% to 29%))31(Meta-analysis)

  • Anxiety in outbreak phase: 25% (95% CI (17% to 34%))31 (Meta-analysis)

  • Anxiety in diffusion attenuation phase: 42% (95% CI (35% to 50%))31(Meta-analysis)

  • Prevalence of mental health problems during COVID-19: 28% (95% CI (22% to 34%))37 (Meta-analysis)

Very low§
⨁◯◯◯
22Physical healthWorse: 3 SRs26 35 39
  • BMI increased by 0.77 units (95% CI (0.33 to 1.2)) p=0.0006), obesity prevalence by 1.23-fold (95% CI (1.1 to 1.37)) p=0.0002), and bodyweight by 2.67 kg (95% CI (2.12 to 3.23)) p<0.0000139 (Meta-analysis)

Very low¶
⨁◯◯◯
16SleepWorse: 2 SRs35 40
No effect: 1 SR26
  • 54% (95% CI (50% to 57%)) had sleep disturbance40 (Meta-analysis)

  • 49% (95% CI (39% to 58%)) did not achieve recommended sleep quantities40 (Meta-analysis)

Very low**
⨁◯◯◯
7Domestic violenceIncreased: 1 SR41
Uncertain: 1 SR35
  • 67% reduction in reported cases of domestic violence involving children41

  • 41% reduction in police reports for domestic violence involving children41

  • Estimated increase in victims of violence against children: 11 488 186–18 381 098 in Africa, 3 577 839–5 724 542 in Asia, 2 921 466–4 674 345 in Latin America, 7 59 600–1 215 360 in Europe, 2 009 722–3 215 554 in North America, and 32 010–51 216 in Oceania41

Very low††
⨁◯◯◯
3: What is the effect of in-school mitigations on community COVID-19 transmission, morbidity or mortality?69TransmissionReduced: 3 SRs17 42 43
  • Mask usage in schools associated with reduction in R in community by 0.011 (95% CI (0.008 to 0.0127))42

Very low‡‡
⨁◯◯◯
HospitilisationReduced: 1 SR42
  • Mask usage in schools associated with reduction in excess hospitalisation per 10 000 of population in teachers to 4.2 (95% CI (−47.39 to 48.09)) from 40.5 (95% CI (−46.95 to 146.64))42

Very low§§
⨁◯◯◯
MortalityReduced: 1 SR42
  • Mask usage in schools associated with reduction in community mortality by ratio of 1.5 (95% CI (1.5 to 1.6))42

Very low¶¶
⨁◯◯◯
4: What is the effect of in-school mitigations on children’s health?0Children’s health0 SRsNot available
  • Number of unique studies in individual SRs. For question 1 - 20: 2, 21: 3, 22: 5, 23: 4, 25: 15, 27: 3, 26: 1, 24: 4, 17: 14, 18: 25, 19: 34. For question 2 (learning) - 28: 1, 30: 77, 29: 29, 26: 3. For question 2 (mental health) - 31: 7, 32: 0, 33: 3, 34: 103, 35: 15, 36: 8, 26: 1, 37: 5. For question 2 (physical health) - 35: 7, 26: 2, 39: 12. For question 2 (sleep) - 40: 6, 35: 6, 26: 0. For question 2 (domestic violence) - 41: 4, 35: 2. For question 3 - 17: 17, 42: 38, 43: 14.

  • Data from meta-analysis were prioritised to represent effect measures for each outcome, where available.

  • *Downgraded for risk of bias and inconsistency.

  • †Downgraded for imprecision.

  • ‡Downgraded for imprecision and risk of bias.

  • §Downgraded for risk of bias.

  • ¶Downgraded for risk of bias.

  • **Downgraded for inconsistency and imprecision.

  • ††Downgraded for indirectness.

  • ‡‡Downgraded for indirectness and imprecision.

  • §§Downgraded for risk of bias, indirectness and imprecision.

  • ¶¶Downgraded for risk of bias, indirectness and imprecision.

  • BMI, body mass index; GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations.